Herman Kahn

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Herman Kahn
Interview with Herman Kahn, author of On Escalation, May 11, 1965.jpg
Herman Kahn, 11 Mei 1965
Lahir15 Februari 1922
Bayonne, New Jersey, Amerika Serikat
Meninggal7 Juli 1983(1983-07-07) (umur 61)
Chappaqua, New York, Amerika Serikat
AlmamaterUniversitas California, Los Angeles (B.S., Fisika)
Institut Teknologi California (M.S.)
Pekerjaan
Dikenal atasOn Thermonuclear War

Herman Kahn (15 Februari 1922 – 7 Juli 1983) adalah pendiri Hudson Institute dan salah satu futuris ternama pada akhir abad ke-20. Ia awalnya dikenal sebagai strategiwan militer dan teoriwan sistem saat masih bekerja di RAND Corporation. Ia kemudian dikenal karena menganalisis potensi dampak perang nuklir dan menyarankan berbagai cara untuk meningkatkan kemungkinan selamat. Berkat analisis tersebut, Kahn menjadi satu dari tiga inspirasi bagi tokoh utama film satir komedi hitam Dr. Strangelove besutan Stanley Kubrick.[1]

Teori-teorinya sangat memengaruhi perkembangan strategi nuklir Amerika Serikat.

Karya[sunting | sunting sumber]

Di luar bidang fisika dan statistika, karya-karya Kahn meliputi:

  • 1960. On Thermonuclear War. Princeton University Press. ISBN 0-313-20060-2
  • 1962. Thinking about the unthinkable. Horizon Press.
  • 1965 On escalation: metaphors and scenarios. Praeger. [1]
  • 1967. The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560440-6. With Anthony Wiener.
  • 1968 Can we win in Viet Nam?. Praeger. Kahn with four other authors: Gastil, Raymond D.; Pfaff, William; Stillman, Edmund; Armbruster, Frank E.
  • 1970. The Emerging Japanese Superstate: challenge and response. Prentice Hall. ISBN 0-13-274670-0
  • 1971. The Japanese challenge: The success and failure of economic success. Morrow; Andre Deutsch. ISBN 0-688-08710-8
  • 1972. Things to come: thinking about the seventies and eighties. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560470-8. With B. Bruce-Briggs.
  • 1973. Herman Kahnsciousness: the megaton ideas of the one-man think tank. New American Library. Selected and edited by Jerome Agel.
  • 1974. The future of the corporation. Mason & Lipscomb. ISBN 0-88405-009-2
  • 1976. The next 200 Years: a scenario for America and the world. Morrow. ISBN 0-688-08029-4
  • 1979. World economic development: 1979 and beyond. William Morrow; Croom Helm. ISBN 0-688-03479-9. With Hollender, Jeffrey, and Hollender, John A.
  • 1981. Will she be right? The future of Australia. University of Queensland Press. ISBN 0-7022-1569-4. With Thomas Pepper.
  • 1983. The Coming Boom: economic, political, and social. Simon & Schuster; Hutchinson. ISBN 0-671-49265-9
  • 1984 Thinking about the unthinkable in the 1980s. New York: Simon and Schuster. ISBN 0-671-47544-4 [2]
  • The nature and feasibility of war, deterrence, and arms control (Central nuclear war monograph series), (Hudson Institute)
  • A slightly optimistic world context for 1975–2000 (Hudson Institute. HI)
  • Social limits to growth: "creeping stagnation" vs. "natural and inevitable" (HPS paper)
  • A new kind of class struggle in the United States? (Corporate Environment Program. Research memorandum)

Karya terbitan RAND Corporation yang melibatkan Kahn:

Lihat pula[sunting | sunting sumber]

Catatan kaki[sunting | sunting sumber]

  1. ^ Paul Boyer, 'Dr. Strangelove' in Mark C. Carnes (ed.), Past Imperfect: History According to the Movies, New York, 1996.

Bacaan lanjutan[sunting | sunting sumber]

Pranala luar[sunting | sunting sumber]